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Sat, Apr 24, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST

Burnley vs Southampton Prediction & Win Probability

Southampton has a 37% chance to win.

0-4-4 · Rating 1670
Form: DLDLD
VS
4-2-2 · Rating 1738
Form: LWWDD
Model Probability
35%
37%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Southampton

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 11.3%28.0%51.9%<1%
If Win 14.4%33.2%53.8%<1%
If Draw 9.9%26.1%55.4%<1%
If Lose 9.0%24.0%53.8%<1%

Burnley

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%1.2%17.4%13.7%
If Win <1%1.8%21.1%10.8%
If Draw <1%1.0%17.4%14.1%
If Lose <1%<1%15.3%16.2%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

BurnleyStatSouthampton
8Games played8
1.1Avg goals scored2.4
2.1Avg goals conceded1.2
0% / 50% / 50%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 25% / 25%
0% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
BurnleyStatSouthampton
6All-time wins (16 meetings, 5 draws)5
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.1Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2022-04-21): Burnley 2–0 Southampton