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Middlesbrough vs Burnley Prediction & Win Probability

Middlesbrough has a 51% chance to win.
Championship
Tue, Apr 20, 2027 · 7:45 PM BST
Championship
Middlesbrough
8-5-2Rating 1702
Form: DLWWD
vs
Model Probability
51%
Draw 26%
23%
Championship
Burnley
1-7-7Rating 1656
Form: LDDLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Burnley

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%4.1%19.3%
If Win <1%<1%6.1%15.3%
If Draw <1%<1%3.7%19.4%
If Lose <1%<1%2.8%22.1%

Middlesbrough

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 8.8%19.1%59.2%<1%
If Win 10.8%23.1%58.2%<1%
If Draw 8.6%19.5%58.9%<1%
If Lose 7.1%15.6%58.1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MiddlesbroughStatBurnley
15Games played15
2.0Avg goals scored1.5
1.3Avg goals conceded2.1
53% / 33% / 13%Win / Draw / Loss7% / 47% / 47%
71% Home win % / Away win % 12%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MiddlesbroughStatBurnley
6All-time wins (17 meetings, 6 draws)5
0Last 5 meetings (3 draws)2
0.9Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2026-09-02): Burnley 1–1 Middlesbrough