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Millwall vs Southampton Prediction & Win Probability

Southampton has a 43% chance to win.
Championship
Sat, Apr 17, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST
Championship
Millwall
5-3-7Rating 1642
Form: LLWLD
vs
Model Probability
30%
Draw 28%
43%
Championship
Southampton
8-4-3Rating 1750
Form: LDWWD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Southampton

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 23.5%41.5%48.4%<1%
If Win 28.7%47.2%46.2%<1%
If Draw 21.1%38.9%51.2%<1%
If Lose 18.7%34.3%52.7%<1%

Millwall

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%12.5%6.6%
If Win <1%<1%15.9%4.2%
If Draw <1%<1%12.5%6.4%
If Lose <1%<1%10.6%8.1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MillwallStatSouthampton
15Games played15
1.5Avg goals scored1.9
1.8Avg goals conceded1.0
33% / 20% / 47%Win / Draw / Loss53% / 27% / 20%
43% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MillwallStatSouthampton
2All-time wins (8 meetings, 2 draws)4
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.1Average goals1.8
Last meeting (2026-08-29): Southampton 5–1 Millwall