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Championship
Sat, Apr 17, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST

Millwall vs Southampton Prediction & Win Probability

Southampton has a 38% chance to win.

3-2-3 · Rating 1662
Form: DDLWL
VS
4-2-2 · Rating 1738
Form: LWWDD
Model Probability
34%
38%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Southampton

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 10.5%27.5%53.8%<1%
If Win 14.8%34.6%51.5%<1%
If Draw 11.3%28.1%55.3%<1%
If Lose 9.3%23.3%55.9%<1%

Millwall

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 1.0%4.0%34.6%4.6%
If Win 1.6%5.0%38.2%3.1%
If Draw <1%3.7%34.0%4.4%
If Lose <1%2.0%30.8%5.9%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MillwallStatSouthampton
8Games played8
1.9Avg goals scored2.4
1.9Avg goals conceded1.2
38% / 25% / 38%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 25% / 25%
50% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MillwallStatSouthampton
2All-time wins (8 meetings, 2 draws)4
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.1Average goals1.8
Last meeting (2026-08-29): Southampton 5–1 Millwall