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Championship
Sat, Apr 10, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST

Derby vs West Ham Prediction & Win Probability

West Ham has a 55% chance to win.

1-2-5 · Rating 1620
Form: DLLLW
VS
4-3-1 · Rating 1814
Form: DWWWW
Model Probability
21%
55%
Draw 24%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

West Ham

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 51.5%73.2%24.4%<1%
If Win 55.7%77.1%20.9%<1%
If Draw 48.3%71.7%26.0%<1%
If Lose 45.2%68.2%29.0%<1%

Derby

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%7.9%31.5%
If Win <1%<1%8.7%23.7%
If Draw <1%<1%7.5%31.6%
If Lose <1%<1%5.6%33.8%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

DerbyStatWest Ham
8Games played8
0.9Avg goals scored2.8
1.8Avg goals conceded1.4
12% / 25% / 62%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 38% / 12%
0% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
DerbyStatWest Ham
1All-time wins (3 meetings, 0 draws)2
1Last 3 meetings (0 draws)2
1.0Average goals2.3
Last meeting (2026-09-05): West Ham 3–0 Derby