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Derby vs West Ham Prediction & Win Probability

West Ham has a 56% chance to win.
Championship
Sat, Apr 10, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST
Championship
Derby
2-4-9Rating 1591
Form: WLLDL
vs
Model Probability
20%
Draw 24%
56%
Championship
West Ham
6-5-4Rating 1790
Form: LDLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

West Ham

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 21.4%40.3%50.3%<1%
If Win 23.3%42.8%49.6%<1%
If Draw 17.6%35.3%54.3%<1%
If Lose 15.8%32.7%54.8%<1%

Derby

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%<1%55.8%
If Win <1%<1%1.1%46.5%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%53.7%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%57.5%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

DerbyStatWest Ham
15Games played15
0.9Avg goals scored2.5
2.0Avg goals conceded1.5
13% / 27% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 33% / 27%
12% Home win % / Away win % 38%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
DerbyStatWest Ham
1All-time wins (3 meetings, 0 draws)2
1Last 3 meetings (0 draws)2
1.0Average goals2.3
Last meeting (2026-09-05): West Ham 3–0 Derby