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West Brom vs Derby Prediction & Win Probability

West Brom has a 58% chance to win.
Championship
Wed, Apr 7, 2027 · 7:45 PM BST
Championship
West Brom
8-4-3Rating 1686
Form: WDWDW
vs
Model Probability
58%
Draw 23%
19%
Championship
Derby
2-4-9Rating 1591
Form: WLLDL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Derby

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%<1%55.0%
If Win <1%<1%<1%46.0%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%54.5%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%57.8%

West Brom

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 6.8%14.7%55.1%<1%
If Win 6.6%17.0%56.5%<1%
If Draw 4.9%11.1%55.2%<1%
If Lose 3.5%10.0%53.3%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

West BromStatDerby
15Games played15
1.5Avg goals scored0.9
1.0Avg goals conceded2.0
53% / 27% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss13% / 27% / 60%
50% Home win % / Away win % 14%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
West BromStatDerby
3All-time wins (12 meetings, 3 draws)6
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
1.0Average goals1.4
Last meeting (2026-09-09): Derby 0–1 West Brom