Championship
Sat, Jan 16, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT
Stoke vs Derby Prediction & Win Probability
Stoke has a 43% chance to win.
Model Prediction Through Season
Derby
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | <1% | 6.9% | 31.1% |
| If Win | <1% | <1% | 9.2% | 23.2% |
| If Draw | <1% | <1% | 7.0% | 31.8% |
| If Lose | <1% | <1% | 5.0% | 36.5% |
Stoke
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 1.3% | 19.7% | 11.8% |
| If Win | <1% | 1.5% | 23.4% | 7.8% |
| If Draw | <1% | <1% | 17.2% | 12.1% |
| If Lose | <1% | <1% | 12.9% | 16.6% |
| Stoke | Stat | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Games played | 8 |
| 1.6 | Avg goals scored | 0.9 |
| 1.5 | Avg goals conceded | 1.8 |
| 50% / 12% / 38% | Win / Draw / Loss | 12% / 25% / 62% |
| 75% | Home win % / Away win % | 25% |
| Stoke | Stat | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | All-time wins (12 meetings, 4 draws) | 4 |
| 2 | Last 5 meetings (1 draws) | 2 |
| 1.0 | Average goals | 1.2 |