Stoke vs Derby Prediction & Win Probability
Stoke has a 51% chance to win.
Championship
Sat, Jan 16, 2027 · 12:30 PM GMT
Model Prediction Through Season
Derby
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | <1% | <1% | 55.1% |
| If Win | <1% | <1% | 1.0% | 44.1% |
| If Draw | <1% | <1% | <1% | 52.6% |
| If Lose | <1% | <1% | <1% | 60.7% |
Stoke
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 2.0% | 5.5% | 41.3% | <1% |
| If Win | 3.4% | 7.6% | 44.8% | <1% |
| If Draw | 1.4% | 4.2% | 40.2% | <1% |
| If Lose | 1.0% | 3.0% | 35.6% | <1% |
| Stoke | Stat | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Games played | 15 |
| 1.6 | Avg goals scored | 0.9 |
| 1.2 | Avg goals conceded | 2.0 |
| 60% / 13% / 27% | Win / Draw / Loss | 13% / 27% / 60% |
| 57% | Home win % / Away win % | 14% |
| Stoke | Stat | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | All-time wins (13 meetings, 4 draws) | 4 |
| 3 | Last 5 meetings (1 draws) | 1 |
| 1.0 | Average goals | 1.2 |