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Derby vs Blackburn Prediction & Win Probability

Derby has a 37% chance to win.
Championship
Fri, Jan 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT
Championship
Derby
2-4-9Rating 1591
Form: WLLDL
vs
Model Probability
37%
Draw 28%
35%
Championship
Blackburn
6-3-6Rating 1642
Form: WLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Blackburn

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%1.2%18.8%2.8%
If Win <1%1.8%24.1%2.2%
If Draw <1%1.0%18.1%4.1%
If Lose <1%<1%13.8%5.0%

Derby

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%<1%55.1%
If Win <1%<1%<1%46.0%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%58.5%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%63.6%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

DerbyStatBlackburn
15Games played15
0.9Avg goals scored1.5
2.0Avg goals conceded1.5
13% / 27% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 20% / 40%
12% Home win % / Away win % 14%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
DerbyStatBlackburn
7All-time wins (22 meetings, 5 draws)10
3Last 5 meetings (0 draws)2
1.1Average goals1.4
Last meeting (2026-02-28): Derby 3–1 Blackburn