Southampton vs Derby Prediction & Win Probability
Southampton has a 66% chance to win.
Championship
Sat, Nov 21, 2026 · 12:30 PM GMT
Model Prediction Through Season
Derby
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | <1% | <1% | 56.0% |
| If Win | <1% | <1% | 1.0% | 41.8% |
| If Draw | <1% | <1% | <1% | 51.3% |
| If Lose | <1% | <1% | <1% | 59.5% |
Southampton
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 23.6% | 42.2% | 48.6% | <1% |
| If Win | 27.5% | 45.9% | 47.5% | <1% |
| If Draw | 18.1% | 34.2% | 54.1% | <1% |
| If Lose | 15.4% | 29.2% | 55.0% | <1% |
| Southampton | Stat | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Games played | 15 |
| 1.9 | Avg goals scored | 0.9 |
| 1.0 | Avg goals conceded | 2.0 |
| 53% / 27% / 20% | Win / Draw / Loss | 13% / 27% / 60% |
| 86% | Home win % / Away win % | 14% |
| Southampton | Stat | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | All-time wins (4 meetings, 2 draws) | 0 |
| 2 | Last 4 meetings (2 draws) | 0 |
| 2.0 | Average goals | 0.8 |