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Tue, Nov 24, 2026 · 8:00 PM GMT

Wolves vs Derby Prediction & Win Probability

Wolves has a 63% chance to win.

4-2-1 · Rating 1754
Form: WWDLW
VS
1-2-5 · Rating 1620
Form: DLLLW
Model Probability
63%
16%
Draw 21%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Derby

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%6.7%32.2%
If Win <1%<1%12.0%20.1%
If Draw <1%<1%7.4%29.3%
If Lose <1%<1%4.9%34.7%

Wolves

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 20.8%45.0%44.8%<1%
If Win 22.0%47.8%44.4%<1%
If Draw 17.4%39.1%49.0%<1%
If Lose 13.8%33.4%49.9%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

WolvesStatDerby
7Games played8
2.1Avg goals scored0.9
1.4Avg goals conceded1.8
57% / 29% / 14%Win / Draw / Loss12% / 25% / 62%
67% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
WolvesStatDerby
4All-time wins (10 meetings, 2 draws)4
3Last 5 meetings (0 draws)2
1.4Average goals1.7
Last meeting (2018-04-11): Wolves 2–0 Derby