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Wolves vs Derby Prediction & Win Probability

Wolves has a 66% chance to win.
Championship
Tue, Nov 24, 2026 · 8:00 PM GMT
Championship
Wolves
8-4-3Rating 1748
Form: DWWWD
vs
Model Probability
66%
Draw 20%
14%
Championship
Derby
2-4-9Rating 1591
Form: WLLDL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Derby

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%<1%55.2%
If Win <1%<1%1.1%40.6%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%49.4%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%58.1%

Wolves

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 21.4%37.9%52.5%<1%
If Win 23.0%42.3%50.3%<1%
If Draw 16.8%31.8%54.6%<1%
If Lose 12.2%24.7%58.8%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

WolvesStatDerby
15Games played15
1.7Avg goals scored0.9
1.2Avg goals conceded2.0
53% / 27% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss13% / 27% / 60%
57% Home win % / Away win % 14%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
WolvesStatDerby
4All-time wins (10 meetings, 2 draws)4
3Last 5 meetings (0 draws)2
1.4Average goals1.7
Last meeting (2018-04-11): Wolves 2–0 Derby