Lightning @ Penguins

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Lightning 0 - Penguins 0
Tuesday, February 2, 2027 at 7:00 PM ET
Tampa Bay
Lightning
11-5 Rating 1554
Form: WLWWW
@
Model Probability
59%
41%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +0.2
Pittsburgh
Penguins
6-11 Rating 1474
Form: LLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Penguins
All-time wins 57 65
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average goals 3.0 3.2
Last meeting 6 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Penguins
Games played 16 17
Avg goals scored 3.8 3.3
Avg goals conceded 3.1 3.5
Win percentage 69% 35%
Away win % / Home win % 38% 50%