Penguins @ Avalanche

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Penguins 2 - Avalanche 5
Friday, October 16, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET
Pittsburgh
Penguins
3-4 Rating 1486
Form: LLLWL
2 – 5
Model Probability
36%
64%
Projected margin: Colorado Avalanche +1.2
Colorado
Avalanche
4-3 Rating 1563
Form: LWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Penguins Avalanche
All-time wins 45 48
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average goals 3.7 3.8
Last meeting 2 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Penguins Avalanche
Games played 7 7
Avg goals scored 3.6 4.4
Avg goals conceded 3.1 3.1
Win percentage 43% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 25% 50%