Penguins @ Capitals

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Penguins 3 - Capitals 5
Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET
Pittsburgh
Penguins
2-1 Rating 1493
Form: WLWWL
3 – 5
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Washington Capitals +0.7
Washington
Capitals
1-1 Rating 1521
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Penguins Capitals
All-time wins 166 140
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average goals 3.5 3.4
Last meeting 0 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Penguins Capitals
Games played 3 2
Avg goals scored 5.0 3.0
Avg goals conceded 2.7 2.5
Win percentage 67% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 100% -