Final Score: Capitals 6 - Penguins 3
Saturday, April 11, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET
Capitals @ Penguins
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Capitals | Penguins |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 138 | 166 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average goals | 3.4 | 3.5 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 5 |
| Stat | Capitals | Penguins |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 79 | 79 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.2 | 3.6 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.0 | 3.2 |
| Win percentage | 51% | 52% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 41% | 50% |
Recent Results
Capitals
@ Toronto Maple Leafs
Apr 8, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
@ New York Rangers
Apr 5, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 9
1-8
vs Buffalo Sabres
Apr 4, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ New Jersey Devils
Apr 2, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
vs Philadelphia Flyers
Mar 31, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
@ Vegas Golden Knights
Mar 28, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ Utah Mammoth
Mar 26, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 11
7-4
@ St. Louis Blues
Mar 24, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
vs Colorado Avalanche
Mar 22, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs New Jersey Devils
Mar 20, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
Penguins
@ New Jersey Devils
Apr 9, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Florida Panthers
Apr 5, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Florida Panthers
Apr 4, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 13
9-4
@ Tampa Bay Lightning
Apr 2, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
vs Detroit Red Wings
Mar 31, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
@ New York Islanders
Mar 30, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 11
8-3
vs Dallas Stars
Mar 28, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ Ottawa Senators
Mar 26, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Colorado Avalanche
Mar 24, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
vs Carolina Hurricanes
Mar 22, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5