Final Score: Capitals 5 - Golden Knights 4
Saturday, March 28, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET

Capitals @ Golden Knights

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Capitals
36-37 Rating 1506
Form: WWLLW
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Vegas Golden Knights +0.2
Golden Knights
32-41 Rating 1484
Form: LLWLL
Golden Knights

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Capitals Golden Knights
All-time wins 10 10
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average goals 3.1 2.9
Last meeting 3 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Capitals Golden Knights
Games played 73 73
Avg goals scored 3.1 3.1
Avg goals conceded 2.9 3.1
Win percentage 49% 44%
Away win % / Home win % 40% 44%