Final Score: Senators 1 - Capitals 4
Wednesday, March 18, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET
Senators @ Capitals
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Senators | Capitals |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 50 | 62 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average goals | 3.0 | 3.2 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 3 |
| Stat | Senators | Capitals |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 66 | 68 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.4 | 3.1 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.1 | 3.0 |
| Win percentage | 52% | 49% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 53% | 57% |
Recent Results
Senators
vs San Jose Sharks
Mar 15, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 11
7-4
vs Anaheim Ducks
Mar 14, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
vs Montreal Canadiens
Mar 11, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Vancouver Canucks
Mar 9, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
@ Seattle Kraken
Mar 7, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 11
7-4
@ Calgary Flames
Mar 5, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Edmonton Oilers
Mar 3, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ Toronto Maple Leafs
Feb 28, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Detroit Red Wings
Feb 26, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Philadelphia Flyers
Feb 5, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
Capitals
vs Boston Bruins
Mar 14, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Buffalo Sabres
Mar 12, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Philadelphia Flyers
Mar 11, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Calgary Flames
Mar 9, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
@ Boston Bruins
Mar 7, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Utah Mammoth
Mar 3, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Montreal Canadiens
Feb 28, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
vs Vegas Golden Knights
Feb 27, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Philadelphia Flyers
Feb 25, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
vs Nashville Predators
Feb 5, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2