Final Score: Canadiens 3 - Senators 2
Wednesday, March 11, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET
Canadiens @ Senators
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Canadiens | Senators |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 91 | 89 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average goals | 2.9 | 3.0 |
| Last meeting | 6 | 5 |
| Stat | Canadiens | Senators |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 63 | 63 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.6 | 3.4 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.3 | 3.1 |
| Win percentage | 56% | 51% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 53% | 48% |
Recent Results
Canadiens
vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Mar 10, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
@ Los Angeles Kings
Mar 7, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Anaheim Ducks
Mar 6, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ San Jose Sharks
Mar 3, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 12
5-7
vs Washington Capitals
Feb 28, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
vs New York Islanders
Feb 26, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Winnipeg Jets
Feb 4, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
@ Minnesota Wild
Feb 2, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Buffalo Sabres
Jan 31, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Colorado Avalanche
Jan 29, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
Senators
@ Vancouver Canucks
Mar 9, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
@ Seattle Kraken
Mar 7, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 11
7-4
@ Calgary Flames
Mar 5, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Edmonton Oilers
Mar 3, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ Toronto Maple Leafs
Feb 28, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Detroit Red Wings
Feb 26, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Philadelphia Flyers
Feb 5, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Carolina Hurricanes
Feb 3, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Pittsburgh Penguins
Feb 2, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs New Jersey Devils
Jan 31, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1