Flames @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Flames 0 - Lightning 0
Thursday, December 17, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
Calgary
Flames
8-10 Rating 1472
Form: LWLLW
@
Model Probability
36%
64%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +1.2
Tampa Bay
Lightning
11-6 Rating 1549
Form: LWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Flames Lightning
All-time wins 24 31
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average goals 3.0 3.1
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Flames Lightning
Games played 18 17
Avg goals scored 2.6 3.7
Avg goals conceded 3.5 3.1
Win percentage 44% 65%
Away win % / Home win % 25% 100%