Falcons @ Commanders

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Falcons 0 - Commanders 0
Sunday, December 20, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET
Atlanta
Falcons
3-5 Rating 1438
Form: WLLWL
@
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Washington Commanders +2.7
Washington
Commanders
2-4-1 Rating 1427
Form: WLTLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Falcons Commanders
All-time wins 11 17
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average points 20.8 24.6
Last meeting 34 27

Key Season Stats

Stat Falcons Commanders
Games played 8 7
Avg points scored 21.4 22.7
Avg points conceded 23.6 26.0
Win percentage 38% 29%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 50%