Bills @ Vikings

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Bills 0 - Vikings 0
Monday, November 9, 2026 at 8:15 PM ET
Buffalo
Bills
6-1 Rating 1714
Form: WLWWW
@
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: Minnesota Vikings +0.2
Minnesota
Vikings
6-1 Rating 1637
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Bills

Scenario PlayoffsDivisionConferenceTitle
Now 98%80%29%17%
If Win 99%87%34%21%
If Lose 97%72%24%13%

Vikings

Scenario PlayoffsDivisionConferenceTitle
Now 92%50%20%10%
If Win 97%61%25%12%
If Lose 89%39%16%7%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Bills Vikings
All-time wins 6 9
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average points 18.6 23.5
Last meeting 30 33

Key Season Stats

Stat Bills Vikings
Games played 7 7
Avg points scored 33.3 20.0
Avg points conceded 25.9 13.3
Win percentage 86% 86%
Away win % / Home win % 100% 100%