Final Score: Lions 10 - Vikings 23
Thursday, December 25, 2025 at 4:30 PM ET
Lions @ Vikings
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Lions | Vikings |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 36 | 74 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average points | 19.2 | 22.5 |
| Last meeting | 24 | 27 |
| Stat | Lions | Vikings |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 15 | 15 |
| Avg points scored | 30.1 | 20.3 |
| Avg points conceded | 24.9 | 21.3 |
| Win percentage | 53% | 47% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 43% | 33% |
Recent Results
Lions
vs Pittsburgh Steelers
Dec 21, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 53
24-29
@ Los Angeles Rams
Dec 14, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 75
34-41
vs Dallas Cowboys
Dec 4, 2025 · Margin: +14 · Total: 74
44-30
vs Green Bay Packers
Nov 27, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 55
24-31
vs New York Giants
Nov 23, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 61
34-27
@ Philadelphia Eagles
Nov 16, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 25
9-16
@ Washington Commanders
Nov 9, 2025 · Margin: +22 · Total: 66
44-22
vs Minnesota Vikings
Nov 2, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 51
24-27
vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Oct 20, 2025 · Margin: +15 · Total: 33
24-9
@ Kansas City Chiefs
Oct 12, 2025 · Margin: -13 · Total: 47
17-30
Vikings
@ New York Giants
Dec 21, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 29
16-13
@ Dallas Cowboys
Dec 14, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 60
34-26
vs Washington Commanders
Dec 7, 2025 · Margin: +31 · Total: 31
31-0
@ Seattle Seahawks
Nov 30, 2025 · Margin: -26 · Total: 26
0-26
@ Green Bay Packers
Nov 23, 2025 · Margin: -17 · Total: 29
6-23
vs Chicago Bears
Nov 16, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 36
17-19
vs Baltimore Ravens
Nov 9, 2025 · Margin: -8 · Total: 46
19-27
@ Detroit Lions
Nov 2, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 51
27-24
@ Los Angeles Chargers
Oct 23, 2025 · Margin: -27 · Total: 47
10-37
vs Philadelphia Eagles
Oct 19, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 50
22-28