Final Score: Heat 130 - Kings 117
Tuesday, January 20, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET

Heat @ Kings

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Heat
22-21 Rating 1485
Form: LWLWL
Model Probability
54%
46%
Projected margin: Sacramento Kings +0.3
Kings
12-31 Rating 1323
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Heat Kings
All-time wins 47 27
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average points 104.7 100.7
Last meeting 111 127

Key Season Stats

Stat Heat Kings
Games played 43 43
Avg points scored 119.3 110.6
Avg points conceded 118.3 120.5
Win percentage 51% 28%
Away win % / Home win % 33% 39%