Final Score: Brewers 3 - Padres 4
Tuesday, October 6, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET

Brewers @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Brewers
105-59 Rating 1591
Form: WWWWW
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Milwaukee Brewers +0.2
Padres
93-73 Rating 1552
Form: WWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Brewers Padres
All-time wins 95 99
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.2 4.5
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Brewers Padres
Games played 164 166
Avg runs scored 5.1 4.5
Avg runs conceded 3.8 4.2
Win percentage 64% 56%
Away win % / Home win % 59% 64%