Final Score: Red Sox 5 - Athletics 4
Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 9:40 PM ET
Red Sox @ Athletics
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Red Sox | Athletics |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 320 | 258 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.7 | 4.4 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 2 |
| Stat | Red Sox | Athletics |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 107 | 108 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.2 | 4.4 |
| Avg runs conceded | 3.7 | 5.6 |
| Win percentage | 52% | 42% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 58% | 40% |
Recent Results
Red Sox
@ Athletics
Jul 29, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ Athletics
Jul 28, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Athletics
Jul 27, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Jul 26, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Jul 25, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 6
0-6
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Jul 24, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
vs Baltimore Orioles
Jul 22, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
vs Baltimore Orioles
Jul 22, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
vs Baltimore Orioles
Jul 20, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 19, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
Athletics
vs Boston Red Sox
Jul 29, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs Boston Red Sox
Jul 28, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Boston Red Sox
Jul 27, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Minnesota Twins
Jul 26, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 19
8-11
@ Minnesota Twins
Jul 25, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
@ Minnesota Twins
Jul 24, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Jul 22, 2026 · Margin: -10 · Total: 20
5-15
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Jul 21, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Jul 20, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Washington Nationals
Jul 19, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5