Final Score: Brewers 2 - Pirates 3
Saturday, July 11, 2026 at 4:05 PM ET
Brewers @ Pirates
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Brewers | Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 259 | 199 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.8 | 4.1 |
| Last meeting | 6 | 7 |
| Stat | Brewers | Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 94 | 95 |
| Avg runs scored | 5.1 | 5.3 |
| Avg runs conceded | 3.7 | 4.9 |
| Win percentage | 63% | 51% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 64% | 51% |
Recent Results
Brewers
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Jul 11, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Jul 9, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 12
8-4
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Jul 8, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Jul 7, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 12
10-2
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Jul 7, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Jul 6, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Jul 5, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Jul 4, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Jul 3, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 11
7-4
vs Cincinnati Reds
Jul 2, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 9
2-7
Pirates
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Jul 11, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
vs Atlanta Braves
Jul 9, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 15
5-10
vs Atlanta Braves
Jul 8, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
vs Atlanta Braves
Jul 7, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 16
12-4
@ Washington Nationals
Jul 5, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 16
11-5
@ Washington Nationals
Jul 4, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 8
7-1
@ Washington Nationals
Jul 3, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 14
5-9
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Jul 2, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Jul 1, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 16
6-10
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Jun 30, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 8
0-8