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UEFA Nations League · League B · Group 2 · Round 6
Tue, Nov 17, 2026 Β· 7:45 PM GMT

Hungary vs Northern Ireland Prediction & Win Probability

Hungary has a 53% chance to win, with a 27% chance of a draw.

Rating 1723 · World #36
Form: WWDLL
VS
Rating 1631 · World #61
Form: DWDWL
Model Probability
53%
20%
Draw 27%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 2 position, depending on this result

πŸ‡­πŸ‡Ί Hungary

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand56%32%11%<1%
Hungary win 89%11%<1%<1%
Draw 34%50%16%<1%
Northern Ireland win <1%64%35%1%

πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Northern Ireland

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand38%42%20%<1%
Hungary win 8%63%29%<1%
Draw 52%33%15%<1%
Northern Ireland win 100%<1%<1%<1%

League B Β· Group 2

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
1 Northern Ireland 4 8 1631 38% 42% 20% <1%
2 Hungary 4 7 1723 56% 32% 11% <1%
3 Ukraine 4 4 1729 6% 24% 55% 16%
4 Georgia 4 2 1627 <1% 2% 14% 84%
Promoted to League A (1st) Promotion play-off (2nd) Relegation play-off (4th)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
HungaryStatNorthern Ireland
4-3-3Won-Drawn-Lost4-2-4
1.4Avg goals scored0.8
1.2Avg goals conceded0.7
1723Rating1631
#36World rank#61

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
HungaryStatNorthern Ireland
1Wins (4 meetings, 2 draws)1
1Last 4 meetings (2 draws)1
0.75Average goals0.75
Last meeting (Mon, Sep 28, 2026, Nations League): Northern Ireland 0–0 Hungary