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UEFA Nations League · League B · Group 2 · Round 1
Fri, Sep 25, 2026 Β· 7:45 PM BST

Hungary vs Ukraine Prediction & Win Probability

Hungary has a 36% chance to win, with a 31% chance of a draw.

Rating 1720 · World #40
Form: LWDWL
VS
Rating 1751 · World #28
Form: LWLWW
Model Probability
36%
34%
Draw 31%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 2 position, depending on this result

πŸ‡­πŸ‡Ί Hungary

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand33%33%21%13%
Hungary win 55%27%12%5%
Draw 29%34%23%14%
Ukraine win 13%39%28%19%

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ Ukraine

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand46%30%16%7%
Hungary win 25%38%24%12%
Draw 47%30%17%7%
Ukraine win 70%20%8%2%

League B Β· Group 2

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
– Ukraine 0 0 1751 46% 30% 16% 7%
– Hungary 0 0 1720 33% 33% 21% 13%
– Georgia 0 0 1635 12% 21% 33% 34%
– Northern Ireland 0 0 1605 8% 16% 30% 46%
Promoted to League A (1st) Promotion play-off (2nd) Relegation play-off (3rd) Relegated to League C (4th)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
HungaryStatUkraine
2-3-5Won-Drawn-Lost5-1-4
1.3Avg goals scored1.6
2.1Avg goals conceded1.9
1720Rating1751
#40World rank#28

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
Hungary and Ukraine haven't met since 2010.

Recent Results

πŸ‡­πŸ‡Ί Hungary

vs Ireland
Sun, Nov 16, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 50%
2–3
@ Armenia
Thu, Nov 13, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 64%
1–0
@ Portugal
Tue, Oct 14, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 9%
2–2
vs Armenia
Sat, Oct 11, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 72%
2–0
vs Portugal
Tue, Sep 9, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 14%
2–3

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ Ukraine

vs Sweden
Thu, Mar 26, 2026 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 50%
1–3
vs Iceland
Sun, Nov 16, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 65%
2–0
@ France
Thu, Nov 13, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 10%
0–4
vs Azerbaijan
Mon, Oct 13, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 82%
2–1
@ Iceland
Fri, Oct 10, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 54%
5–3