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UEFA Nations League · League B · Group 2 · Round 2
Mon, Sep 28, 2026 Β· 5:00 PM BST

Georgia vs Ukraine Prediction & Win Probability

Ukraine has a 45% chance to win, with a 29% chance of a draw.

Rating 1635 · World #59
Form: LLLLW
VS
Rating 1751 · World #28
Form: LWLWW
Model Probability
26%
45%
Draw 29%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 2 position, depending on this result

πŸ‡¬πŸ‡ͺ Georgia

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand12%21%33%34%
Georgia win 26%28%27%18%
Draw 11%21%34%33%
Ukraine win 4%16%35%44%

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ Ukraine

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand46%30%16%7%
Georgia win 29%30%26%15%
Draw 41%32%19%8%
Ukraine win 61%28%9%2%

League B Β· Group 2

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
– Ukraine 0 0 1751 46% 30% 16% 7%
– Hungary 0 0 1720 33% 33% 21% 13%
– Georgia 0 0 1635 12% 21% 33% 34%
– Northern Ireland 0 0 1605 8% 16% 30% 46%
Promoted to League A (1st) Promotion play-off (2nd) Relegation play-off (3rd) Relegated to League C (4th)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
GeorgiaStatUkraine
3-1-6Won-Drawn-Lost5-1-4
1.8Avg goals scored1.6
1.9Avg goals conceded1.9
1635Rating1751
#59World rank#28

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
GeorgiaStatUkraine
0Wins (3 meetings, 1 draw)2
0Last 3 meetings (1 draw)2
0.67Average goals1.33
Last meeting (Sat, Nov 16, 2024, Nations League): Georgia 1–1 Ukraine

Recent Results

πŸ‡¬πŸ‡ͺ Georgia

@ Bulgaria
Tue, Nov 18, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 50%
1–2
vs Spain
Sat, Nov 15, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 6%
0–4
@ Turkey
Tue, Oct 14, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 17%
1–4
@ Spain
Sat, Oct 11, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 4%
0–2
vs Bulgaria
Sun, Sep 7, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 59%
3–0

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ Ukraine

vs Sweden
Thu, Mar 26, 2026 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 50%
1–3
vs Iceland
Sun, Nov 16, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 65%
2–0
@ France
Thu, Nov 13, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 10%
0–4
vs Azerbaijan
Mon, Oct 13, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 82%
2–1
@ Iceland
Fri, Oct 10, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 54%
5–3