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UEFA Nations League · League A · Group 3 · Round 6
Sun, Nov 15, 2026 ยท 7:45 PM GMT

Croatia vs Czech Republic Prediction & Win Probability

Croatia has a 62% chance to win, with a 23% chance of a draw.

Rating 1838 · World #16
Form: LLLWL
VS
Rating 1681 · World #49
Form: LLLLL
Model Probability
62%
15%
Draw 23%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 3 position, depending on this result

๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ท Croatia

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand<1%2%92%6%
Croatia win <1%4%96%<1%
Draw <1%<1%100%<1%
Czech Republic win <1%<1%60%40%

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฟ Czech Republic

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand<1%<1%6%94%
Croatia win <1%<1%<1%100%
Draw <1%<1%<1%100%
Czech Republic win <1%<1%40%60%

League A ยท Group 3

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
1 Spain 4 12 2093 92% 8% <1% <1%
2 England 4 9 2010 8% 90% 2% <1%
3 Croatia 4 3 1838 <1% 2% 92% 6%
4 Czech Republic 4 0 1681 <1% <1% 6% 94%
Quarter-finals (1st, 2nd) Relegation play-off (3rd) Relegated to League B (4th)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
CroatiaStatCzech Republic
5-0-5Won-Drawn-Lost1-3-6
1.6Avg goals scored1.3
2.4Avg goals conceded1.9
1838Rating1681
#16World rank#49

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
CroatiaStatCzech Republic
2Wins (5 meetings, 3 draws)0
2Last 5 meetings (3 draws)0
2.0Average goals1.0
Last meeting (Sat, Sep 26, 2026, Nations League): Czech Republic 1–2 Croatia