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UEFA Nations League · League A · Group 3 · Round 4
Tue, Oct 6, 2026 ยท 7:45 PM BST

England vs Czech Republic Prediction & Win Probability

England has a 79% chance to win, with a 14% chance of a draw.

Rating 1996 · World #4
Form: WLDWW
VS
Rating 1693 · World #47
Form: LDLDD
Model Probability
79%
7%
Draw 14%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 3 position, depending on this result

๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ England

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand30%50%17%3%
England win 33%51%15%<1%
Draw 22%48%25%5%
Czech Republic win 14%42%26%19%

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฟ Czech Republic

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand<1%2%18%79%
England win <1%1%16%82%
Draw <1%5%21%74%
Czech Republic win 2%12%33%53%

League A ยท Group 3

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
– Spain 0 0 2079 65% 28% 6% <1%
– England 0 0 1996 30% 50% 17% 3%
– Croatia 0 0 1855 5% 19% 58% 18%
– Czech Republic 0 0 1693 <1% 2% 18% 79%
Quarter-finals (1st, 2nd) Relegation play-off (3rd) Relegated to League B (4th)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
EnglandStatCzech Republic
7-2-1Won-Drawn-Lost2-4-4
2.3Avg goals scored1.5
1.2Avg goals conceded1.6
1996Rating1693
#4World rank#47

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
EnglandStatCzech Republic
2Wins (3 meetings, 0 draws)1
2Last 3 meetings (0 draws)1
2.33Average goals0.67
Last meeting (Tue, Jun 22, 2021, Euro): Czech Republic 0–1 England

Recent Results

๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ England

@ France
Sat, Jul 18, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 27%
6–4
vs Argentina
Wed, Jul 15, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 31%
1–2
@ Norway
Sat, Jul 11, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 56%
1–1
@ Mexico
Mon, Jul 6, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 50%
3–2
vs D.R. Congo
Wed, Jul 1, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 76%
2–1

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฟ Czech Republic

vs Mexico
Thu, Jun 25, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 20%
0–3
vs South Africa
Thu, Jun 18, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 47%
1–1
@ South Korea
Fri, Jun 12, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 32%
1–2
vs Denmark
Tue, Mar 31, 2026 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 26%
1–1
vs Ireland
Thu, Mar 26, 2026 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 48%
2–2