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La Liga
Sun, May 2, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST

Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal Prediction & Win Probability

Rayo Vallecano has a 39% chance to win.

2-2-3 · Rating 1834
Form: DWLWL
VS
2-2-3 · Rating 1873
Form: WWLLL
Model Probability
39%
33%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Villarreal

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%23.6%9.6%3.5%
If Win <1%27.2%11.5%2.4%
If Draw <1%20.5%10.5%3.9%
If Lose <1%17.0%8.8%5.0%

Rayo Vallecano

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%13.3%7.4%8.5%
If Win <1%15.5%8.0%6.3%
If Draw <1%11.0%6.8%8.7%
If Lose <1%8.9%6.0%11.5%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Rayo VallecanoStatVillarreal
7Games played7
1.6Avg goals scored1.9
2.3Avg goals conceded1.7
29% / 29% / 43%Win / Draw / Loss29% / 29% / 43%
67% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Rayo VallecanoStatVillarreal
5All-time wins (20 meetings, 3 draws)12
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
1.0Average goals2.1
Last meeting (2026-05-17): Rayo Vallecano 2–0 Villarreal