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La Liga
Wed, Apr 21, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST

Villarreal vs Atl. Madrid Prediction & Win Probability

Atl. Madrid has a 38% chance to win.

2-2-3 · Rating 1873
Form: WWLLL
VS
5-1-1 · Rating 1949
Form: WWWLW
Model Probability
34%
38%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Atl. Madrid

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 4.0%86.1%4.8%<1%
If Win 5.1%90.1%3.8%<1%
If Draw 3.3%85.8%5.1%<1%
If Lose 2.5%82.0%6.7%<1%

Villarreal

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%21.2%11.5%4.6%
If Win <1%27.8%11.2%2.4%
If Draw <1%21.4%10.0%3.9%
If Lose <1%18.2%7.8%4.5%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

VillarrealStatAtl. Madrid
7Games played7
1.9Avg goals scored2.3
1.7Avg goals conceded1.0
29% / 29% / 43%Win / Draw / Loss71% / 14% / 14%
33% Home win % / Away win % 67%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
VillarrealStatAtl. Madrid
9All-time wins (32 meetings, 12 draws)11
1Last 5 meetings (3 draws)1
1.2Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-08-23): Atl. Madrid 2–2 Villarreal