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La Liga
Sun, Apr 11, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST

Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad Prediction & Win Probability

Rayo Vallecano has a 45% chance to win.

2-2-3 · Rating 1834
Form: DWLWL
VS
3-1-3 · Rating 1832
Form: WLWDW
Model Probability
45%
28%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Real Sociedad

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%16.9%8.7%5.5%
If Win <1%23.5%9.8%3.7%
If Draw <1%16.4%8.5%5.5%
If Lose <1%12.6%7.3%7.6%

Rayo Vallecano

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%12.1%6.6%8.3%
If Win <1%15.8%7.5%6.6%
If Draw <1%11.1%6.1%8.7%
If Lose <1%8.9%5.2%11.8%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Rayo VallecanoStatReal Sociedad
7Games played7
1.6Avg goals scored1.3
2.3Avg goals conceded1.9
29% / 29% / 43%Win / Draw / Loss43% / 14% / 43%
67% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Rayo VallecanoStatReal Sociedad
6All-time wins (22 meetings, 8 draws)8
2Last 5 meetings (3 draws)0
1.4Average goals1.7
Last meeting (2026-04-26): Rayo Vallecano 3–3 Real Sociedad