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Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad Prediction & Win Probability

Rayo Vallecano has a 39% chance to win.
La Liga
Sun, Apr 11, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST
La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
3-4-5Rating 1816
Form: LWLDD
vs
Model Probability
39%
Draw 28%
33%
La Liga
Real Sociedad
7-1-4Rating 1855
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Real Sociedad

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%43.1%16.6%<1%
If Win <1%51.3%17.4%<1%
If Draw <1%44.5%16.2%<1%
If Lose <1%36.7%16.1%<1%

Rayo Vallecano

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%4.6%5.2%11.3%
If Win <1%6.7%7.8%7.8%
If Draw <1%3.6%4.6%11.4%
If Lose <1%2.2%4.0%16.1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Rayo VallecanoStatReal Sociedad
12Games played12
1.2Avg goals scored1.8
1.8Avg goals conceded1.7
25% / 33% / 42%Win / Draw / Loss58% / 8% / 33%
50% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Rayo VallecanoStatReal Sociedad
6All-time wins (23 meetings, 8 draws)9
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
1.3Average goals1.7
Last meeting (2026-11-08): Real Sociedad 1–0 Rayo Vallecano