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La Liga
Sun, Apr 4, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST

Real Sociedad vs Valencia Prediction & Win Probability

Real Sociedad has a 47% chance to win.

3-1-3 · Rating 1832
Form: WLWDW
VS
1-1-5 · Rating 1814
Form: LWLLL
Model Probability
47%
26%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Valencia

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%3.3%2.6%27.1%
If Win <1%5.7%3.7%18.0%
If Draw <1%2.8%2.0%26.2%
If Lose <1%1.7%1.7%30.4%

Real Sociedad

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%16.0%8.0%5.9%
If Win <1%20.3%9.1%4.3%
If Draw <1%14.8%7.3%7.3%
If Lose <1%12.0%7.0%9.2%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Real SociedadStatValencia
7Games played7
1.3Avg goals scored0.6
1.9Avg goals conceded1.9
43% / 14% / 43%Win / Draw / Loss14% / 14% / 71%
33% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Real SociedadStatValencia
15All-time wins (33 meetings, 8 draws)10
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.4Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-09-20): Valencia 2–3 Real Sociedad