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La Liga
Sun, Jan 17, 2027 · 4:00 PM GMT

Malaga vs Real Madrid Prediction & Win Probability

Real Madrid has a 69% chance to win.

0-3-4 · Rating 1715
Form: LLDDL
VS
5-0-2 · Rating 2014
Form: LWWLW
Model Probability
12%
69%
Draw 19%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Real Madrid

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 12.6%95.5%1.8%<1%
If Win 14.9%96.9%1.3%<1%
If Draw 9.0%95.4%2.1%<1%
If Lose 8.2%93.7%2.7%<1%

Malaga

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%<1%<1%75.4%
If Win <1%<1%<1%63.4%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%74.7%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%78.5%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MalagaStatReal Madrid
7Games played7
0.4Avg goals scored2.6
1.7Avg goals conceded1.1
0% / 43% / 57%Win / Draw / Loss71% / 0% / 29%
0% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MalagaStatReal Madrid
1All-time wins (19 meetings, 4 draws)14
0Last 5 meetings (0 draws)5
0.8Average goals2.6
Last meeting (2026-08-30): Real Madrid 4–0 Malaga