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Real Sociedad vs Malaga Prediction & Win Probability

Real Sociedad has a 66% chance to win.
La Liga
Sun, Jan 24, 2027 · 4:00 PM GMT
La Liga
Real Sociedad
7-1-4Rating 1855
Form: WLWWW
vs
Model Probability
66%
Draw 20%
14%
La Liga
Malaga
0-5-7Rating 1700
Form: LLDLD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Malaga

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%<1%<1%87.8%
If Win <1%<1%<1%80.3%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%87.1%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%90.5%

Real Sociedad

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%44.1%16.4%<1%
If Win <1%46.8%18.1%<1%
If Draw <1%36.3%16.0%<1%
If Lose <1%30.5%15.3%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Real SociedadStatMalaga
12Games played12
1.8Avg goals scored0.8
1.7Avg goals conceded1.9
58% / 8% / 33%Win / Draw / Loss0% / 42% / 58%
67% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Real SociedadStatMalaga
7All-time wins (17 meetings, 5 draws)5
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.5Average goals1.4
Last meeting (2026-10-18): Malaga 2–5 Real Sociedad