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Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich Prediction & Win Probability

Bayern Munich has a 56% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, May 14, 2027 · 2:30 PM BST
Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen
4-1-3Rating 1848
Form: LLWWW
vs
Model Probability
20%
Draw 24%
56%
Bundesliga
Bayern Munich
5-3-0Rating 2051
Form: DWWDW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Bayern Munich

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 84.2%99.6%<1%<1%<1%
If Win 88.6%100.0%<1%<1%<1%
If Draw 83.2%99.7%<1%<1%<1%
If Lose 78.9%99.6%<1%<1%<1%

Bayer Leverkusen

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%46.7%14.8%<1%<1%
If Win 2.1%57.6%13.9%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%48.7%14.2%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%45.1%16.3%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Bayer LeverkusenStatBayern Munich
8Games played8
2.2Avg goals scored3.4
2.0Avg goals conceded1.0
50% / 12% / 38%Win / Draw / Loss62% / 38% / 0%
75% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Bayer LeverkusenStatBayern Munich
7All-time wins (33 meetings, 10 draws)16
1Last 5 meetings (3 draws)1
1.1Average goals1.8
Last meeting (2026-03-14): Bayer Leverkusen 1–1 Bayern Munich