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Bayer Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV Prediction & Win Probability

Bayer Leverkusen has a 67% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, May 7, 2027 · 2:30 PM BST
Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen
4-1-3Rating 1848
Form: LLWWW
vs
Model Probability
67%
Draw 20%
14%
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV
4-0-5Rating 1687
Form: WLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Hamburger SV

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%1.1%1.5%16.5%3.7%
If Win <1%2.2%2.9%11.3%1.8%
If Draw <1%1.6%1.4%14.5%3.3%
If Lose <1%<1%1.1%18.1%4.7%

Bayer Leverkusen

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 1.2%45.7%15.5%<1%<1%
If Win 1.1%49.8%16.8%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%39.6%16.2%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%37.4%15.2%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Bayer LeverkusenStatHamburger SV
8Games played9
2.2Avg goals scored1.1
2.0Avg goals conceded2.2
50% / 12% / 38%Win / Draw / Loss44% / 0% / 56%
75% Home win % / Away win % 20%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Bayer LeverkusenStatHamburger SV
11All-time wins (19 meetings, 5 draws)3
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
1.9Average goals0.9
Last meeting (2026-05-16): Bayer Leverkusen 1–1 Hamburger SV