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Hamburger SV vs Freiburg Prediction & Win Probability

Freiburg has a 46% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, May 14, 2027 · 2:30 PM BST
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV
4-0-5Rating 1687
Form: WLLWW
vs
Model Probability
27%
Draw 27%
46%
Bundesliga
Freiburg
5-1-2Rating 1819
Form: WLLWD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Freiburg

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%49.4%15.7%<1%<1%
If Win 1.3%54.3%15.3%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%46.4%16.2%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%42.2%15.9%<1%<1%

Hamburger SV

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%1.3%1.5%16.7%3.7%
If Win <1%1.8%1.9%11.7%2.0%
If Draw <1%1.1%1.5%17.5%4.0%
If Lose <1%<1%1.1%18.9%4.7%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Hamburger SVStatFreiburg
9Games played8
1.1Avg goals scored2.2
2.2Avg goals conceded1.2
44% / 0% / 56%Win / Draw / Loss62% / 12% / 25%
75% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Hamburger SVStatFreiburg
5All-time wins (17 meetings, 6 draws)6
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
1.0Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2026-05-10): Hamburger SV 3–2 Freiburg