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Union Berlin vs Werder Bremen Prediction & Win Probability

Union Berlin has a 37% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, May 7, 2027 · 2:30 PM BST
Bundesliga
Union Berlin
1-4-3Rating 1690
Form: DDDWL
vs
Model Probability
37%
Draw 28%
35%
Bundesliga
Werder Bremen
4-3-1Rating 1739
Form: WWDDW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Werder Bremen

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%11.7%8.6%2.4%<1%
If Win <1%16.2%11.7%1.2%<1%
If Draw <1%12.0%8.6%2.2%<1%
If Lose <1%8.7%8.6%2.7%<1%

Union Berlin

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%28.3%11.1%
If Win <1%<1%<1%25.0%8.5%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%30.6%11.9%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%32.7%15.2%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Union BerlinStatWerder Bremen
8Games played8
0.9Avg goals scored2.1
2.4Avg goals conceded1.8
12% / 50% / 38%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 38% / 12%
20% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Union BerlinStatWerder Bremen
6All-time wins (12 meetings, 1 draws)5
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
1.4Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2026-03-08): Union Berlin 1–4 Werder Bremen