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Hoffenheim vs Union Berlin Prediction & Win Probability

Hoffenheim has a 54% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, Apr 23, 2027 · 2:30 PM BST
Bundesliga
Hoffenheim
3-0-5Rating 1761
Form: LWWLL
vs
Model Probability
54%
Draw 25%
21%
Bundesliga
Union Berlin
1-4-3Rating 1690
Form: DDDWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Union Berlin

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%27.8%11.9%
If Win <1%1.0%1.0%24.3%6.3%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%27.3%9.6%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%31.4%13.2%

Hoffenheim

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%5.7%4.4%5.7%1.3%
If Win <1%5.8%5.1%4.3%<1%
If Draw <1%3.6%4.6%6.2%1.0%
If Lose <1%3.0%3.1%9.5%1.7%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

HoffenheimStatUnion Berlin
8Games played8
1.8Avg goals scored0.9
2.0Avg goals conceded2.4
38% / 0% / 62%Win / Draw / Loss12% / 50% / 38%
50% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
HoffenheimStatUnion Berlin
6All-time wins (14 meetings, 2 draws)6
2Last 5 meetings (0 draws)3
1.9Average goals1.6
Last meeting (2026-01-31): Hoffenheim 3–1 Union Berlin