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Mainz vs RB Leipzig Prediction & Win Probability

RB Leipzig has a 41% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, Apr 9, 2027 · 2:30 PM BST
Bundesliga
Mainz
3-1-4Rating 1733
Form: LLWLW
vs
Model Probability
31%
Draw 28%
41%
Bundesliga
RB Leipzig
5-0-3Rating 1830
Form: WWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

RB Leipzig

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 1.0%49.1%13.9%<1%<1%
If Win 1.0%56.7%13.3%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%48.1%15.1%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%42.0%13.6%<1%<1%

Mainz

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%2.6%2.5%10.9%1.7%
If Win <1%3.8%4.1%7.6%1.0%
If Draw <1%2.1%2.4%10.8%2.5%
If Lose <1%1.3%2.2%12.9%2.7%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MainzStatRB Leipzig
8Games played8
2.1Avg goals scored2.8
2.1Avg goals conceded1.4
38% / 12% / 50%Win / Draw / Loss62% / 0% / 38%
0% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MainzStatRB Leipzig
7All-time wins (20 meetings, 4 draws)9
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.4Average goals2.1
Last meeting (2026-01-31): RB Leipzig 1–2 Mainz