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RB Leipzig vs Freiburg Prediction & Win Probability

RB Leipzig has a 46% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, Apr 2, 2027 · 2:30 PM BST
Bundesliga
RB Leipzig
5-0-3Rating 1830
Form: WWLWL
vs
Model Probability
46%
Draw 27%
27%
Bundesliga
Freiburg
5-1-2Rating 1819
Form: WLLWD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Freiburg

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%49.0%14.9%<1%<1%
If Win 1.6%59.6%13.7%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%48.3%16.4%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%43.2%14.2%<1%<1%

RB Leipzig

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%49.5%13.6%<1%<1%
If Win 1.4%57.0%14.4%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%47.0%15.4%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%38.8%14.2%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

RB LeipzigStatFreiburg
8Games played8
2.8Avg goals scored2.2
1.4Avg goals conceded1.2
62% / 0% / 38%Win / Draw / Loss62% / 12% / 25%
100% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
RB LeipzigStatFreiburg
12All-time wins (20 meetings, 4 draws)4
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
2.1Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-05-16): Freiburg 4–1 RB Leipzig