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RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin Prediction & Win Probability

RB Leipzig has a 64% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, Mar 19, 2027 · 2:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
RB Leipzig
5-0-3Rating 1830
Form: WWLWL
vs
Model Probability
64%
Draw 21%
15%
Bundesliga
Union Berlin
1-4-3Rating 1690
Form: DDDWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Union Berlin

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%29.1%11.4%
If Win <1%1.2%1.2%22.4%6.1%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%28.5%10.6%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%30.6%13.0%

RB Leipzig

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 1.3%50.7%13.4%<1%<1%
If Win 1.2%55.1%13.6%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%43.7%14.8%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%37.3%13.4%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

RB LeipzigStatUnion Berlin
8Games played8
2.8Avg goals scored0.9
1.4Avg goals conceded2.4
62% / 0% / 38%Win / Draw / Loss12% / 50% / 38%
100% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
RB LeipzigStatUnion Berlin
6All-time wins (14 meetings, 2 draws)6
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
1.6Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-04-24): RB Leipzig 3–1 Union Berlin