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Premier League
Wed, Feb 10, 2027 · 8:00 PM GMT

Newcastle vs Chelsea Prediction & Win Probability

Newcastle has a 47% chance to win.

2-2-1 · Rating 1916
Form: WLDWD
VS
2-1-2 · Rating 1899
Form: LDLWW
Model Probability
47%
27%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Chelsea

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%18.1%6.9%6.3%
If Win <1%24.1%8.1%3.3%
If Draw <1%18.6%7.3%5.6%
If Lose <1%14.1%6.0%6.8%

Newcastle

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%23.2%9.2%4.0%
If Win <1%29.1%9.2%2.2%
If Draw <1%22.9%8.0%3.7%
If Lose <1%17.0%8.0%5.2%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

NewcastleStatChelsea
5Games played5
1.8Avg goals scored2.0
1.8Avg goals conceded2.4
40% / 40% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 20% / 40%
33% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
NewcastleStatChelsea
10All-time wins (30 meetings, 5 draws)15
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.2Average goals1.6
Last meeting (2026-03-14): Chelsea 0–1 Newcastle