← Home / England / Premier League / Matches / Manchester City vs Newcastle
Premier League
Sat, Feb 20, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT

Manchester City vs Newcastle Prediction & Win Probability

Manchester City has a 65% chance to win.

5-0-0 · Rating 2063
Form: WWWWW
VS
2-2-1 · Rating 1916
Form: WLDWD
Model Probability
65%
15%
Draw 20%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Newcastle

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%22.7%8.9%4.8%
If Win 1.1%33.1%10.1%1.7%
If Draw <1%23.4%8.8%3.6%
If Lose <1%21.4%7.9%4.5%

Manchester City

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 48.3%96.5%1.4%<1%
If Win 53.0%98.0%1.0%<1%
If Draw 43.1%96.2%1.6%<1%
If Lose 38.4%93.7%2.3%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Manchester CityStatNewcastle
5Games played5
2.6Avg goals scored1.8
1.0Avg goals conceded1.8
100% / 0% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 40% / 20%
100% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Manchester CityStatNewcastle
24All-time wins (30 meetings, 4 draws)2
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
2.8Average goals0.8
Last meeting (2026-02-21): Manchester City 2–1 Newcastle