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Aston Villa vs Leeds Prediction & Win Probability

Aston Villa has a 52% chance to win.
Premier League
Sat, Dec 26, 2026 · 12:30 PM GMT
Premier League
Aston Villa
3-4-3Rating 1943
Form: DDWWD
vs
Model Probability
52%
Draw 25%
23%
Premier League
Leeds
3-5-2Rating 1891
Form: WLDDL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Leeds

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%13.5%7.9%4.0%
If Win <1%21.1%11.0%1.4%
If Draw <1%13.9%7.7%3.6%
If Lose <1%9.1%6.1%4.9%

Aston Villa

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%28.9%10.6%1.3%
If Win <1%34.3%12.6%<1%
If Draw <1%22.6%10.8%1.4%
If Lose <1%17.2%10.1%2.1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Aston VillaStatLeeds
10Games played10
1.4Avg goals scored1.0
1.7Avg goals conceded0.8
30% / 40% / 30%Win / Draw / Loss30% / 50% / 20%
20% Home win % / Away win % 20%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Aston VillaStatLeeds
5All-time wins (14 meetings, 6 draws)3
3Last 5 meetings (2 draws)0
1.3Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-02-21): Aston Villa 1–1 Leeds