Premier League
Sat, Dec 12, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT
Manchester City vs Chelsea Prediction & Win Probability
Manchester City has a 67% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 19%
Model Prediction Through Season
Chelsea
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 19.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% |
| If Win | <1% | 26.6% | 9.0% | 2.5% |
| If Draw | <1% | 19.9% | 8.2% | 4.6% |
| If Lose | <1% | 15.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% |
Manchester City
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 48.9% | 96.6% | 1.4% | <1% |
| If Win | 53.6% | 97.4% | 1.4% | <1% |
| If Draw | 42.8% | 96.0% | 1.6% | <1% |
| If Lose | 37.0% | 94.0% | 2.3% | <1% |
| Manchester City | Stat | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games played | 5 |
| 2.6 | Avg goals scored | 2.0 |
| 1.0 | Avg goals conceded | 2.4 |
| 100% / 0% / 0% | Win / Draw / Loss | 40% / 20% / 40% |
| 100% | Home win % / Away win % | 33% |
| Manchester City | Stat | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|
| 18 | All-time wins (33 meetings, 6 draws) | 9 |
| 3 | Last 5 meetings (2 draws) | 0 |
| 1.6 | Average goals | 1.0 |
Recent Results
Manchester City
vs Sunderland
Sun, Sep 20, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5–3
@ Manchester Utd
Sun, Sep 13, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0
vs Coventry
Sat, Sep 5, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0
@ Crystal Palace
Fri, Aug 28, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4–1
vs Bournemouth
Sun, Aug 23, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2–1