Manchester City vs Chelsea Prediction & Win Probability
Manchester City has a 61% chance to win.
Premier League
Sat, Dec 12, 2026 · 5:30 PM GMT
Model Prediction Through Season
Chelsea
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 27.1% | 10.9% | 1.4% |
| If Win | <1% | 38.5% | 12.4% | <1% |
| If Draw | <1% | 27.9% | 12.2% | 1.0% |
| If Lose | <1% | 22.5% | 10.5% | 1.6% |
Manchester City
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 11.7% | 90.8% | 3.8% | <1% |
| If Win | 14.7% | 94.6% | 2.2% | <1% |
| If Draw | 9.8% | 89.9% | 3.9% | <1% |
| If Lose | 7.4% | 84.3% | 6.1% | <1% |
| Manchester City | Stat | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Games played | 10 |
| 2.1 | Avg goals scored | 1.9 |
| 1.3 | Avg goals conceded | 1.6 |
| 70% / 0% / 30% | Win / Draw / Loss | 50% / 10% / 40% |
| 80% | Home win % / Away win % | 40% |
| Manchester City | Stat | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|
| 18 | All-time wins (33 meetings, 6 draws) | 9 |
| 3 | Last 5 meetings (2 draws) | 0 |
| 1.6 | Average goals | 1.0 |