Chelsea vs Liverpool Prediction & Win Probability
Chelsea has a 37% chance to win.
Premier League
Sat, Dec 5, 2026 · 12:30 PM GMT
Model Prediction Through Season
Liverpool
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 2.0% | 62.3% | 11.4% | <1% |
| If Win | 2.5% | 73.8% | 9.4% | <1% |
| If Draw | 1.7% | 62.5% | 11.7% | <1% |
| If Lose | 1.1% | 54.9% | 13.2% | <1% |
Chelsea
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 26.5% | 11.0% | 1.5% |
| If Win | <1% | 35.4% | 11.4% | <1% |
| If Draw | <1% | 24.7% | 10.6% | 1.3% |
| If Lose | <1% | 17.4% | 10.5% | 2.2% |
| Chelsea | Stat | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Games played | 10 |
| 1.9 | Avg goals scored | 1.4 |
| 1.6 | Avg goals conceded | 1.0 |
| 50% / 10% / 40% | Win / Draw / Loss | 50% / 30% / 20% |
| 60% | Home win % / Away win % | 80% |
| Chelsea | Stat | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | All-time wins (33 meetings, 13 draws) | 12 |
| 2 | Last 5 meetings (1 draws) | 2 |
| 1.2 | Average goals | 1.5 |