Premier League
Sat, Dec 5, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT
Chelsea vs Liverpool Prediction & Win Probability
Liverpool has a 37% chance to win.
Model Prediction Through Season
Liverpool
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 2.6% | 52.5% | 9.8% | <1% |
| If Win | 4.1% | 59.8% | 9.4% | <1% |
| If Draw | 2.5% | 52.2% | 10.3% | <1% |
| If Lose | 1.2% | 43.1% | 10.9% | 1.3% |
Chelsea
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 18.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% |
| If Win | <1% | 23.6% | 9.3% | 3.0% |
| If Draw | <1% | 15.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% |
| If Lose | <1% | 11.7% | 5.5% | 9.0% |
| Chelsea | Stat | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games played | 5 |
| 2.0 | Avg goals scored | 1.4 |
| 2.4 | Avg goals conceded | 0.8 |
| 40% / 20% / 40% | Win / Draw / Loss | 40% / 60% / 0% |
| 50% | Home win % / Away win % | 67% |
| Chelsea | Stat | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | All-time wins (33 meetings, 13 draws) | 12 |
| 2 | Last 5 meetings (1 draws) | 2 |
| 1.2 | Average goals | 1.5 |