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Liverpool vs Leeds Prediction & Win Probability

Liverpool has a 55% chance to win.
Premier League
Sat, Dec 12, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT
Premier League
Liverpool
5-3-2Rating 1964
Form: WLWWL
vs
Model Probability
55%
Draw 25%
21%
Premier League
Leeds
3-5-2Rating 1891
Form: WLDDL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Leeds

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%15.1%7.5%3.8%
If Win <1%23.5%9.9%1.1%
If Draw <1%14.2%8.1%3.0%
If Lose <1%10.0%6.8%5.1%

Liverpool

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 1.6%64.1%10.3%<1%
If Win 2.4%72.2%9.3%<1%
If Draw 1.2%58.6%11.4%<1%
If Lose <1%49.0%12.0%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LiverpoolStatLeeds
10Games played10
1.4Avg goals scored1.0
1.0Avg goals conceded0.8
50% / 30% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss30% / 50% / 20%
20% Home win % / Away win % 20%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LiverpoolStatLeeds
4All-time wins (8 meetings, 3 draws)1
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
3.0Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-01-01): Liverpool 0–0 Leeds