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Premier League
Sat, Dec 12, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT

Liverpool vs Leeds Prediction & Win Probability

Liverpool has a 54% chance to win.

2-3-0 · Rating 1963
Form: WDWDD
VS
2-3-0 · Rating 1897
Form: DWDDW
Model Probability
54%
21%
Draw 25%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Leeds

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%21.2%7.8%4.2%
If Win <1%33.2%9.4%1.6%
If Draw <1%22.9%8.7%3.6%
If Lose <1%16.4%7.9%5.4%

Liverpool

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 3.5%53.5%9.4%<1%
If Win 3.8%59.1%10.0%<1%
If Draw 1.9%47.9%9.8%1.1%
If Lose 1.6%39.9%10.2%1.1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LiverpoolStatLeeds
5Games played5
1.4Avg goals scored1.4
0.8Avg goals conceded0.6
40% / 60% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 60% / 0%
0% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LiverpoolStatLeeds
4All-time wins (8 meetings, 3 draws)1
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
3.0Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-01-01): Liverpool 0–0 Leeds