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Tottenham vs Arsenal Prediction & Win Probability

Arsenal has a 58% chance to win.
Premier League
Sun, Dec 6, 2026 · 4:30 PM GMT
Premier League
Tottenham
3-3-3Rating 1872
Form: WWWDL
vs
Model Probability
18%
Draw 23%
58%
Premier League
Arsenal
8-0-1Rating 2090
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Arsenal

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 68.8%99.7%<1%<1%
If Win 72.7%99.8%<1%<1%
If Draw 65.0%99.5%<1%<1%
If Lose 58.3%98.8%<1%<1%

Tottenham

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%7.2%5.5%8.8%
If Win <1%14.0%6.9%3.8%
If Draw <1%7.5%4.9%7.3%
If Lose <1%5.5%3.6%12.2%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

TottenhamStatArsenal
9Games played9
1.1Avg goals scored1.6
1.1Avg goals conceded0.6
33% / 33% / 33%Win / Draw / Loss89% / 0% / 11%
40% Home win % / Away win % 80%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
TottenhamStatArsenal
10All-time wins (33 meetings, 8 draws)15
0Last 5 meetings (0 draws)5
1.5Average goals1.9
Last meeting (2026-02-22): Tottenham 1–4 Arsenal